Advance Retail Sales: Excluding Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers

RETAIL
Coincident IndicatorBroad Indicator

Latest Value

662,752Million USD

Date: 2026-05-01

Data Count

413records

Data from FRED source

Basic Info

Country: US

Frequency: Monthly

Source: FRED

Next Release

07/15 12:30 JST

Period: Jun

Trend Chart (Line)

Historical Trend Data

DateValue (Million USD)MoM (Change)YoY (Change)3-Month MA
2026-05-01662,752+1.01%+7.24%657,302.33
2026-04-01656,115+0.47%+5.21%650,064.33
2026-03-01653,040+1.87%+4.42%643,009
2026-02-01641,038+0.96%+3.96%636,939
2026-01-01634,949+0.02%+3.22%634,752
2025-12-01634,830+0.06%+2.11%633,551
2025-11-01634,477+0.50%+2.94%632,739.33
2025-10-01631,346-0.17%+3.03%631,963.33
2025-09-01632,395+0.04%+3.88%631,097
2025-08-01632,149+0.54%+4.73%628,347.33
2025-07-01628,747+0.74%+3.79%623,643.33
2025-06-01624,146+0.99%+4.03%621,939.33
2025-05-01618,037-0.90%+2.94%622,364
2025-04-01623,635-0.29%+4.69%621,897
2025-03-01625,420+1.42%+4.94%619,067
2025-02-01616,636+0.24%+3.95%617,831.33
2025-01-01615,145-1.06%+4.45%617,734
2024-12-01621,713+0.87%+4.62%616,943
2024-11-01616,344+0.58%+3.84%612,630
2024-10-01612,772+0.66%+2.90%608,382.33
2024-09-01608,774+0.86%+1.64%606,063
2024-08-01603,601-0.37%+1.41%603,131.33
2024-07-01605,814+0.97%+2.81%602,055
2024-06-01599,979-0.07%+1.92%598,675.67
2024-05-01600,372+0.79%+2.40%597,339
2024-04-01595,676-0.05%+2.02%594,950.33
2024-03-01595,969+0.47%+2.96%592,706.33
2024-02-01593,206+0.72%+1.20%592,135.33
2024-01-01588,944-0.89%-0.51%592,255.67
2023-12-01594,256+0.12%+4.42%594,446.67
2023-11-01593,567-0.33%+2.99%596,013.33
2023-10-01595,517-0.57%+1.80%596,554.67
2023-09-01598,956+0.63%+3.37%594,468
2023-08-01595,191+1.01%+2.41%591,039.33
2023-07-01589,257+0.10%+1.72%588,071
2023-06-01588,670+0.41%+0.53%586,276.67
2023-05-01586,286+0.41%+1.11%582,990.67
2023-04-01583,874+0.87%+0.50%582,950.33
2023-03-01578,812-1.25%+0.75%585,647
2023-02-01586,165-0.98%+3.97%582,416
2023-01-01591,964+4.01%+5.66%579,146.33
2022-12-01569,119-1.26%+3.99%576,827
2022-11-01576,356-1.48%+4.59%580,269.33
2022-10-01585,006+0.96%+7.27%581,882.67
2022-09-01579,446-0.30%+7.97%579,969.67
2022-08-01581,196+0.33%+9.15%582,006.33
2022-07-01579,267-1.07%+9.59%581,555.67
2022-06-01585,556+0.99%+8.41%582,114.33
2022-05-01579,844-0.19%+8.06%578,424
2022-04-01580,943+1.12%+7.15%573,068.33
2022-03-01574,485+1.90%+6.46%566,173
2022-02-01563,777+0.63%+15.34%557,103.67
2022-01-01560,257+2.37%+11.69%552,872
2021-12-01547,277-0.69%+12.62%547,906.67
2021-11-01551,082+1.05%+15.27%544,364.67
2021-10-01545,361+1.62%+13.44%538,163
2021-09-01536,651+0.78%+11.18%532,576
2021-08-01532,477+0.73%+12.41%533,743
2021-07-01528,600-2.14%+12.02%535,113.67
2021-06-01540,152+0.66%+15.96%539,646.67

About Indicator

Explanation

What is Retail Sales (RETAIL)?

Retail Sales measures the total sales value at retail stores, department stores, and online merchants in the US. It directly tracks the momentum of consumer spending.

Viewpoints on this Indicator

The month-over-month (MoM) percentage change is closely monitored. Because it tracks nominal dollars, high inflation can inflate sales figures. Therefore, it must be compared to CPI to measure real consumption growth.

Importance

High
View Details

Deep Dive

Personal consumption drives roughly 70% of US GDP. Retail Sales represents about one-third of this consumption (with the rest going to service spending like rent and healthcare). A high figure indicates active consumer demand and a robust economy.

Consistently strong retail sales ease recession fears but raise inflation concerns, potentially causing the Fed to delay interest rate cuts. This can lead to higher bond yields, a stronger dollar, and short-term pressure on equities.

A weak retail sales print raises concerns about economic growth. However, it can also spark rate-cut hopes, temporarily supporting stock prices. If the figure drops too sharply, investors will worry about recession-driven corporate profit drops, causing stocks to fall.

Key Checkpoints in Data

Key Checkpoints

  • Whether the overall MoM sales beat market forecasts.
  • If Core Retail Sales (excluding autos and gasoline) remains robust.
  • Whether sales growth outpaces the consumer inflation rate (CPI).
  • If online sales are continuing to expand their share of the retail mix.
  • If temporary seasonal fluctuations (like Black Friday) are skewing the numbers.
Connection with Associated Indicators

Why Look at Associated Indicators Together

Associated Indicator Why to Look Together
Consumer Price Index (CPI) To check if the sales growth represents actual volume growth rather than just price increases.
Average Hourly Earnings To confirm if wage increases are providing the purchasing power to support retail spending.
One-Line Summary for Beginners

Retail Sales measures the momentum of consumer spending in the US. Strong sales point to a healthy economy but can prevent interest rates from falling.

Last Fetched: 6/17/2026, 6:44:51 PM

Flow of Analysis: US Consumer Price Index (CPI)

🔍1. Before (Leading)

Check these leading indicators a few days before to gauge expectations.

📊2. During (Core Values)

Check the headline and core figures at the moment of release.